Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight cluster around 30–32°C highs for Guangzhou on April 18, driving trader sentiment with 31°C and 32°C edging out at 26% and 25.5% implied probabilities amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk (under 25%). Recent observations on April 15–16 reached 29°C under cloudy conditions, with a +3°C monthly anomaly fueling warmth from a persistent subtropical ridge, though sea breezes and urban heat island effects create 1–2°C model spread. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability and stray thunderstorm potential, which could cap peaks at 30°C or push to 32°C; expect refined guidance from overnight model runs and CMA updates by midday April 17.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 18?
31°C 27%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
29°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
28°C or below
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C
27%
32°C
27%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
31°C 27%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
29°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
28°C or below
$66 交易量
9%
29°C
$0 交易量
18%
30°C
$0 交易量
18%
31°C
$0 交易量
27%
32°C
$0 交易量
27%
33°C
$0 交易量
12%
34°C
$59 交易量
6%
35°C
$85 交易量
2%
36°C
$115 交易量
1%
37°C
$209 交易量
1%
38°C or higher
$144 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight cluster around 30–32°C highs for Guangzhou on April 18, driving trader sentiment with 31°C and 32°C edging out at 26% and 25.5% implied probabilities amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk (under 25%). Recent observations on April 15–16 reached 29°C under cloudy conditions, with a +3°C monthly anomaly fueling warmth from a persistent subtropical ridge, though sea breezes and urban heat island effects create 1–2°C model spread. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability and stray thunderstorm potential, which could cap peaks at 30°C or push to 32°C; expect refined guidance from overnight model runs and CMA updates by midday April 17.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ET
交易量
$679结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight cluster around 30–32°C highs for Guangzhou on April 18, driving trader sentiment with 31°C and 32°C edging out at 26% and 25.5% implied probabilities amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk (under 25%). Recent observations on April 15–16 reached 29°C under cloudy conditions, with a +3°C monthly anomaly fueling warmth from a persistent subtropical ridge, though sea breezes and urban heat island effects create 1–2°C model spread. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability and stray thunderstorm potential, which could cap peaks at 30°C or push to 32°C; expect refined guidance from overnight model runs and CMA updates by midday April 17.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$679结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ETLatest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight cluster around 30–32°C highs for Guangzhou on April 18, driving trader sentiment with 31°C and 32°C edging out at 26% and 25.5% implied probabilities amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk (under 25%). Recent observations on April 15–16 reached 29°C under cloudy conditions, with a +3°C monthly anomaly fueling warmth from a persistent subtropical ridge, though sea breezes and urban heat island effects create 1–2°C model spread. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability and stray thunderstorm potential, which could cap peaks at 30°C or push to 32°C; expect refined guidance from overnight model runs and CMA updates by midday April 17.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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