Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C as Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, 2026, at the Baiyun International Airport station, reflecting aligned forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS. Midday observations peaked near 32.7–33°C under partly cloudy skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, which suppressed convective activity and limited further intensification despite April's typical 26–28°C highs amid a +2°C monthly anomaly. Current evening readings around 29°C, with increasing cloud cover and light southwest winds, indicate the peak has passed, as diurnal heating cycles wane. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing 1–2°C late-afternoon rebound—unlikely per hourly guidance—or minor station measurement variances, with final CMA observations expected post-midnight to confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 19?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$56,705 交易量
$56,705 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$56,705 交易量
$56,705 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C as Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, 2026, at the Baiyun International Airport station, reflecting aligned forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS. Midday observations peaked near 32.7–33°C under partly cloudy skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, which suppressed convective activity and limited further intensification despite April's typical 26–28°C highs amid a +2°C monthly anomaly. Current evening readings around 29°C, with increasing cloud cover and light southwest winds, indicate the peak has passed, as diurnal heating cycles wane. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing 1–2°C late-afternoon rebound—unlikely per hourly guidance—or minor station measurement variances, with final CMA observations expected post-midnight to confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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