Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and global model consensus converged on a daytime maximum of 33°C for June 2 under typical early-summer anticyclonic conditions and persistently above-normal temperatures across southern China. This aligns with 2026’s broader warming trend, which has elevated seasonal averages several degrees above the long-term June baseline of roughly 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 100% for the 33°C outcome reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment from authoritative sources. Minor local variations in urban heat-island effects or final official recording adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such shifts are historically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月2日香港气温最高?
33°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$339,129 交易量
$339,129 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$339,129 交易量
$339,129 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and global model consensus converged on a daytime maximum of 33°C for June 2 under typical early-summer anticyclonic conditions and persistently above-normal temperatures across southern China. This aligns with 2026’s broader warming trend, which has elevated seasonal averages several degrees above the long-term June baseline of roughly 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 100% for the 33°C outcome reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment from authoritative sources. Minor local variations in urban heat-island effects or final official recording adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such shifts are historically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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