Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 28?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,341 交易量
$24,341 交易量
2026-04-28
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,341 交易量
$24,341 交易量
2026-04-28
67°F or below
$1,025 交易量
No
68-69°F
$1,216 交易量
No
70-71°F
$2,919 交易量
No
72-73°F
$1,926 交易量
No
74-75°F
$1,465 交易量
No
76-77°F
$993 交易量
No
78-79°F
$1,755 交易量
No
80-81°F
$1,881 交易量
No
82-83°F
$2,914 交易量
No
84-85°F
$3,543 交易量
No
86°F or higher
$4,705 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$24,341结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$24,341结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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