Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 19°C in London on April 30, driven by the Met Office's official daily records confirming this maximum at key monitoring stations like Heathrow Airport, under mild spring conditions with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Synoptic charts showed a weak high-pressure ridge over the UK, suppressing temperatures below 20°C amid light winds and average humidity, consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely exceed 20°C absent heatwaves. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data audit revealing measurement errors at secondary sites or unverified outlier readings, though such revisions are exceedingly rare in verified meteorological datasets; final resolution awaits any late updates from the Met Office.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on April 30?
Highest temperature in London on April 30?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$446,559 交易量
$446,559 交易量
2026-04-30
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$446,559 交易量
$446,559 交易量
2026-04-30
12°C or below
$9,102 交易量
No
13°C
$17,366 交易量
No
14°C
$7,268 交易量
No
15°C
$16,540 交易量
No
16°C
$20,544 交易量
No
17°C
$109,801 交易量
No
18°C
$123,119 交易量
No
19°C
$47,644 交易量
Yes
20°C
$38,621 交易量
No
21°C
$30,867 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$25,687 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 19°C in London on April 30, driven by the Met Office's official daily records confirming this maximum at key monitoring stations like Heathrow Airport, under mild spring conditions with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Synoptic charts showed a weak high-pressure ridge over the UK, suppressing temperatures below 20°C amid light winds and average humidity, consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely exceed 20°C absent heatwaves. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data audit revealing measurement errors at secondary sites or unverified outlier readings, though such revisions are exceedingly rare in verified meteorological datasets; final resolution awaits any late updates from the Met Office.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
交易量
$446,559结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 2:01 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 19°C in London on April 30, driven by the Met Office's official daily records confirming this maximum at key monitoring stations like Heathrow Airport, under mild spring conditions with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Synoptic charts showed a weak high-pressure ridge over the UK, suppressing temperatures below 20°C amid light winds and average humidity, consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely exceed 20°C absent heatwaves. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data audit revealing measurement errors at secondary sites or unverified outlier readings, though such revisions are exceedingly rare in verified meteorological datasets; final resolution awaits any late updates from the Met Office.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$446,559结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 2:01 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 19°C in London on April 30, driven by the Met Office's official daily records confirming this maximum at key monitoring stations like Heathrow Airport, under mild spring conditions with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Synoptic charts showed a weak high-pressure ridge over the UK, suppressing temperatures below 20°C amid light winds and average humidity, consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely exceed 20°C absent heatwaves. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data audit revealing measurement errors at secondary sites or unverified outlier readings, though such revisions are exceedingly rare in verified meteorological datasets; final resolution awaits any late updates from the Met Office.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题