Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$60,573 交易量
$60,573 交易量
2026-05-10
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$60,573 交易量
$60,573 交易量
2026-05-10
53°F or below
$4,227 交易量
No
54-55°F
$1,195 交易量
No
56-57°F
$756 交易量
No
58-59°F
$1,711 交易量
No
60-61°F
$4,226 交易量
No
62-63°F
$3,003 交易量
No
64-65°F
$5,035 交易量
No
66-67°F
$5,829 交易量
No
68-69°F
$17,492 交易量
Yes
70-71°F
$8,296 交易量
No
72°F or higher
$8,802 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
交易量
$60,573结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$60,573结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题