Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 12?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,614 交易量
$78,614 交易量
2026-05-12
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,614 交易量
$78,614 交易量
2026-05-12
16°C or below
$4,625 交易量
No
17°C
$8,151 交易量
No
18°C
$2,942 交易量
No
19°C
$6,791 交易量
No
20°C
$7,558 交易量
No
21°C
$7,615 交易量
No
22°C
$4,751 交易量
No
23°C
$6,268 交易量
No
24°C
$6,709 交易量
No
25°C
$11,611 交易量
Yes
26°C or higher
$11,594 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$78,614结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,614结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题