Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on May 4?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 4?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,188 交易量
$20,188 交易量
2026-05-04
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,188 交易量
$20,188 交易量
2026-05-04
22°C or below
$3,520 交易量
No
23°C
$237 交易量
No
24°C
$513 交易量
No
25°C
$329 交易量
No
26°C
$1,308 交易量
No
27°C
$568 交易量
No
28°C
$2,413 交易量
No
29°C
$3,334 交易量
No
30°C
$2,551 交易量
No
31°C
$2,898 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$2,515 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
交易量
$20,188结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,188结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题