Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature reached 19.5°C by 10:00 KST on April 26 under clear skies, with hourly forecasts projecting a peak of 24°C near 15:00 amid a high-pressure ridge and light westerly winds fostering strong daytime heating. This aligns with recent warm anomalies—prior days hit 26°C highs—exceeding late-April climatological norms of 18–19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for 20°C or higher based on official station data from Seoul or Incheon International Airport. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen marine layer, sudden cloud cover, or cold front intrusion before afternoon peak, though model ensembles show high stability and no such signals. KMA updates expected hourly through evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月26日首尔气温最高?
20°C或以上 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$242,613 交易量
$242,613 交易量
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
是
20°C或以上 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$242,613 交易量
$242,613 交易量
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature reached 19.5°C by 10:00 KST on April 26 under clear skies, with hourly forecasts projecting a peak of 24°C near 15:00 amid a high-pressure ridge and light westerly winds fostering strong daytime heating. This aligns with recent warm anomalies—prior days hit 26°C highs—exceeding late-April climatological norms of 18–19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for 20°C or higher based on official station data from Seoul or Incheon International Airport. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen marine layer, sudden cloud cover, or cold front intrusion before afternoon peak, though model ensembles show high stability and no such signals. KMA updates expected hourly through evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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