Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 17-22°C for Tel Aviv's March 25 high temperature, driven primarily by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 18-19°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent 12Z model runs show minimal spread, with ECMWF leaning slightly cooler at 18°C due to enhanced sea breezes from mild Levantine lows, while GFS edges warmer toward 20°C under clearer skies. Historical March data from the Israel Meteorological Service indicates typical highs of 19°C with 2°C standard deviation, amplifying uncertainty in this razor-thin race; coastal advection fog risks further differentiate sub-18°C outcomes from 20°C+. Key watch: tomorrow's 00Z updates for resolution-defining tweaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月25日特拉维夫最高气温?
3月25日特拉维夫最高气温?
18°C 22%
19°C 19%
17°C 18%
20°C 17%
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
18%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
17%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
1%
18°C 22%
19°C 19%
17°C 18%
20°C 17%
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
18%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
17%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 17-22°C for Tel Aviv's March 25 high temperature, driven primarily by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 18-19°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent 12Z model runs show minimal spread, with ECMWF leaning slightly cooler at 18°C due to enhanced sea breezes from mild Levantine lows, while GFS edges warmer toward 20°C under clearer skies. Historical March data from the Israel Meteorological Service indicates typical highs of 19°C with 2°C standard deviation, amplifying uncertainty in this razor-thin race; coastal advection fog risks further differentiate sub-18°C outcomes from 20°C+. Key watch: tomorrow's 00Z updates for resolution-defining tweaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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