**Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses point to a daily high of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 7 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns closely with early-September climatology for the coastal plain, where average highs hover near 30°C amid typical Mediterranean summer-to-fall transition patterns. Recent observations show temperatures at or slightly above seasonal norms through early September, with no major synoptic shifts—such as stronger troughs or heat domes—expected to alter the trajectory before the target date. Model consensus remains tight on the 31–32°C range, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (54.5%) and 33°C (44.5%) as the leading outcomes, while lower or higher extremes carry negligible implied probability given the absence of anomalous drivers. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest near-term refinement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日特拉维夫最高气温?
32°C 55%
33°C 45%
29℃或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
29℃或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
55%
33°C
45%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
32°C 55%
33°C 45%
29℃或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
29℃或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
55%
33°C
45%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses point to a daily high of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 7 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns closely with early-September climatology for the coastal plain, where average highs hover near 30°C amid typical Mediterranean summer-to-fall transition patterns. Recent observations show temperatures at or slightly above seasonal norms through early September, with no major synoptic shifts—such as stronger troughs or heat domes—expected to alter the trajectory before the target date. Model consensus remains tight on the 31–32°C range, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (54.5%) and 33°C (44.5%) as the leading outcomes, while lower or higher extremes carry negligible implied probability given the absence of anomalous drivers. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest near-term refinement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题