Recent forecasts from the Met Office, Meteoprog, and other models converge on a daytime high near 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 6, supported by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit cloud cover and moisture. This places the outcome above the long-term climatological average of about 29°C while remaining below any heatwave thresholds. Minor model spread around 30–32°C reflects typical early-September variability as seasonal cooling begins, though no major frontal systems or Saharan air intrusions are indicated in the short term. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C because updated guidance through early September has stabilized in this narrow range, with fresh runs from global and regional models expected to refine the peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日特拉维夫的最高温度?
31°C 56%
32°C 43%
30°C 11%
33°C 8%
28°C或以下
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
56%
32°C
43%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C或更高
2%
31°C 56%
32°C 43%
30°C 11%
33°C 8%
28°C或以下
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
56%
32°C
43%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Met Office, Meteoprog, and other models converge on a daytime high near 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 6, supported by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit cloud cover and moisture. This places the outcome above the long-term climatological average of about 29°C while remaining below any heatwave thresholds. Minor model spread around 30–32°C reflects typical early-September variability as seasonal cooling begins, though no major frontal systems or Saharan air intrusions are indicated in the short term. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C because updated guidance through early September has stabilized in this narrow range, with fresh runs from global and regional models expected to refine the peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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