Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low in Tel Aviv on September 6 due to consistent forecast model runs from agencies including the Met Office and GFS data, which project overnight minima stabilizing near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity levels around 80%. Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above typical early-September climatological lows near 23°C. Recent observational trends through early September show no significant cooling advection or cloud cover increases that would drop readings toward 22°C or below, while upside risks to 26°C remain minimal given the stable pattern. Updated model guidance and official station reports from the Israel Meteorological Service will refine resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日特拉维夫最低气温?
25°C 96%
21°C 10%
24°C 5%
19°C或以下 3%
19°C或以下
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
16%
25°C
80%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
25°C 96%
21°C 10%
24°C 5%
19°C或以下 3%
19°C或以下
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
16%
25°C
80%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low in Tel Aviv on September 6 due to consistent forecast model runs from agencies including the Met Office and GFS data, which project overnight minima stabilizing near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity levels around 80%. Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above typical early-September climatological lows near 23°C. Recent observational trends through early September show no significant cooling advection or cloud cover increases that would drop readings toward 22°C or below, while upside risks to 26°C remain minimal given the stable pattern. Updated model guidance and official station reports from the Israel Meteorological Service will refine resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题