MetService's latest forecast for Wellington on April 18 pins the daytime high at 18°C under rain with heavy falls easing later and strong northwesterlies, aligning with the market's leading 34.5% implied probability for that outcome and explaining trader consensus after recent subtropical remnants from Cyclone Vaianu cleared earlier in the week. Close competition from 19°C (29.5%) and 17°C (21.0%) reflects ensemble model uncertainty, where drier scenarios in some global runs like ECMWF could boost insolation for a degree higher, while persistent cloud or a cooler southerly shift caps it lower—common in autumn's variable synoptic patterns. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near-average April temperatures around 17°C historically. Watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance as the event nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 18?
18°C 33%
19°C 30%
17°C 22%
16°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
22%
18°C
33%
19°C
30%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 33%
19°C 30%
17°C 22%
16°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
11°C or below
$1,545 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,418 交易量
<1%
13°C
$825 交易量
1%
14°C
$432 交易量
1%
15°C
$1,010 交易量
3%
16°C
$300 交易量
13%
17°C
$184 交易量
22%
18°C
$342 交易量
33%
19°C
$214 交易量
30%
20°C
$675 交易量
5%
21°C or higher
$285 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for Wellington on April 18 pins the daytime high at 18°C under rain with heavy falls easing later and strong northwesterlies, aligning with the market's leading 34.5% implied probability for that outcome and explaining trader consensus after recent subtropical remnants from Cyclone Vaianu cleared earlier in the week. Close competition from 19°C (29.5%) and 17°C (21.0%) reflects ensemble model uncertainty, where drier scenarios in some global runs like ECMWF could boost insolation for a degree higher, while persistent cloud or a cooler southerly shift caps it lower—common in autumn's variable synoptic patterns. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near-average April temperatures around 17°C historically. Watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
交易量
$7,231结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for Wellington on April 18 pins the daytime high at 18°C under rain with heavy falls easing later and strong northwesterlies, aligning with the market's leading 34.5% implied probability for that outcome and explaining trader consensus after recent subtropical remnants from Cyclone Vaianu cleared earlier in the week. Close competition from 19°C (29.5%) and 17°C (21.0%) reflects ensemble model uncertainty, where drier scenarios in some global runs like ECMWF could boost insolation for a degree higher, while persistent cloud or a cooler southerly shift caps it lower—common in autumn's variable synoptic patterns. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near-average April temperatures around 17°C historically. Watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,231结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETMetService's latest forecast for Wellington on April 18 pins the daytime high at 18°C under rain with heavy falls easing later and strong northwesterlies, aligning with the market's leading 34.5% implied probability for that outcome and explaining trader consensus after recent subtropical remnants from Cyclone Vaianu cleared earlier in the week. Close competition from 19°C (29.5%) and 17°C (21.0%) reflects ensemble model uncertainty, where drier scenarios in some global runs like ECMWF could boost insolation for a degree higher, while persistent cloud or a cooler southerly shift caps it lower—common in autumn's variable synoptic patterns. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near-average April temperatures around 17°C historically. Watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance as the event nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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