Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological agencies indicate Zhengzhou will reach daytime highs near or above 31–33°C on August 21 under persistent summer conditions, with high humidity and limited cloud cover supporting strong solar heating. This aligns with typical August climatology for the North China Plain, where average highs hover around 32–33°C absent major weather disruptions. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this model agreement and current observations showing temperatures already climbing through the low 30s Celsius. Only an unforecasted surge in convective rainfall or anomalous northerly flow would realistically cap the maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability per the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日郑州气温最高？
8月21日郑州气温最高？
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,736 交易量
$5,736 交易量
2026-08-21
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,736 交易量
$5,736 交易量
2026-08-21
22°C or below
$195 交易量
No
23°C
$195 交易量
No
24°C
$195 交易量
No
25°C
$185 交易量
No
26°C
$116 交易量
No
27°C
$135 交易量
No
28°C
$345 交易量
No
29°C
$647 交易量
No
30°C
$1,252 交易量
No
31°C
$1,193 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$1,278 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological agencies indicate Zhengzhou will reach daytime highs near or above 31–33°C on August 21 under persistent summer conditions, with high humidity and limited cloud cover supporting strong solar heating. This aligns with typical August climatology for the North China Plain, where average highs hover around 32–33°C absent major weather disruptions. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this model agreement and current observations showing temperatures already climbing through the low 30s Celsius. Only an unforecasted surge in convective rainfall or anomalous northerly flow would realistically cap the maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability per the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$5,736结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological agencies indicate Zhengzhou will reach daytime highs near or above 31–33°C on August 21 under persistent summer conditions, with high humidity and limited cloud cover supporting strong solar heating. This aligns with typical August climatology for the North China Plain, where average highs hover around 32–33°C absent major weather disruptions. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this model agreement and current observations showing temperatures already climbing through the low 30s Celsius. Only an unforecasted surge in convective rainfall or anomalous northerly flow would realistically cap the maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability per the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,736结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological agencies indicate Zhengzhou will reach daytime highs near or above 31–33°C on August 21 under persistent summer conditions, with high humidity and limited cloud cover supporting strong solar heating. This aligns with typical August climatology for the North China Plain, where average highs hover around 32–33°C absent major weather disruptions. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this model agreement and current observations showing temperatures already climbing through the low 30s Celsius. Only an unforecasted surge in convective rainfall or anomalous northerly flow would realistically cap the maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability per the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题