Traders see near-even odds around 10–14°C for Ankara’s lowest temperature on September 21 because ensemble forecasts show substantial spread in nighttime radiative cooling under variable high pressure. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow could limit the drop to near 14°C. Regional models differ on the timing and strength of a weak frontal passage, which would mix warmer air aloft and raise minimums. Historical September climatology for the Anatolian plateau places typical overnight lows near 12–13°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keep implied probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring any single outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日安卡拉最低气温？
9月21日安卡拉最低气温？
10°C或以下 100%
11°C 100%
14°C 51%
13°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
49%
13°C
50%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
10°C或以下 100%
11°C 100%
14°C 51%
13°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
11°C
$0 交易量
100%
12°C
$5 交易量
49%
13°C
$0 交易量
50%
14°C
$0 交易量
51%
15°C
$15 交易量
<1%
16°C
$15 交易量
<1%
17°C
$15 交易量
<1%
18°C
$15 交易量
<1%
19°C
$565 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$1,189 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds around 10–14°C for Ankara’s lowest temperature on September 21 because ensemble forecasts show substantial spread in nighttime radiative cooling under variable high pressure. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow could limit the drop to near 14°C. Regional models differ on the timing and strength of a weak frontal passage, which would mix warmer air aloft and raise minimums. Historical September climatology for the Anatolian plateau places typical overnight lows near 12–13°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keep implied probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring any single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,819结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds around 10–14°C for Ankara’s lowest temperature on September 21 because ensemble forecasts show substantial spread in nighttime radiative cooling under variable high pressure. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow could limit the drop to near 14°C. Regional models differ on the timing and strength of a weak frontal passage, which would mix warmer air aloft and raise minimums. Historical September climatology for the Anatolian plateau places typical overnight lows near 12–13°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keep implied probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring any single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,819结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTraders see near-even odds around 10–14°C for Ankara’s lowest temperature on September 21 because ensemble forecasts show substantial spread in nighttime radiative cooling under variable high pressure. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow could limit the drop to near 14°C. Regional models differ on the timing and strength of a weak frontal passage, which would mix warmer air aloft and raise minimums. Historical September climatology for the Anatolian plateau places typical overnight lows near 12–13°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keep implied probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring any single outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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