Current forecasts from multiple models show Ankara's overnight low on September 22 likely falling between 12–15°C amid a passing frontal system with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Variable cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant factors, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast or rainy conditions tends to support higher minima near 13–14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 10–11°C. Ensemble spread in guidance reflects modest uncertainty in exact rain onset and wind patterns, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日安卡拉最低气温？
9月22日安卡拉最低气温？
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
8°C或更低
7%
9°C
11%
10°C
30%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
37%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C
6%
18°C或更高
4%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
8°C或更低
$0 交易量
7%
9°C
$0 交易量
11%
10°C
$33 交易量
30%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
37%
15°C
$0 交易量
19%
16°C
$0 交易量
11%
17°C
$0 交易量
6%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models show Ankara's overnight low on September 22 likely falling between 12–15°C amid a passing frontal system with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Variable cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant factors, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast or rainy conditions tends to support higher minima near 13–14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 10–11°C. Ensemble spread in guidance reflects modest uncertainty in exact rain onset and wind patterns, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$33结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models show Ankara's overnight low on September 22 likely falling between 12–15°C amid a passing frontal system with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Variable cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant factors, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast or rainy conditions tends to support higher minima near 13–14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 10–11°C. Ensemble spread in guidance reflects modest uncertainty in exact rain onset and wind patterns, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models show Ankara's overnight low on September 22 likely falling between 12–15°C amid a passing frontal system with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Variable cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant factors, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast or rainy conditions tends to support higher minima near 13–14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 10–11°C. Ensemble spread in guidance reflects modest uncertainty in exact rain onset and wind patterns, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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