Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to overnight lows near 77–79°F in Austin on August 21, driven by a strong subtropical ridge maintaining light winds, elevated dew points, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress the typical 4–6°F drop below the prior evening’s temperature that occurs on drier nights. With historical August minima averaging 74–75°F, the current setup favors values at the upper end of the normal range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 76–79°F bins as traders weigh minor differences among model runs for boundary-layer moisture and wind. Updated forecasts tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日奥斯汀最低气温？
8月21日奥斯汀最低气温？
76-77°F 32%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 28%
72-73°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 32%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 28%
72-73°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
67°F or below
$80 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$28 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$33 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
27%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
28%
76-77°F
$1 交易量
32%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
30%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
27%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
18%
84-85°F
$69 交易量
<1%
86°F or higher
$69 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to overnight lows near 77–79°F in Austin on August 21, driven by a strong subtropical ridge maintaining light winds, elevated dew points, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress the typical 4–6°F drop below the prior evening’s temperature that occurs on drier nights. With historical August minima averaging 74–75°F, the current setup favors values at the upper end of the normal range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 76–79°F bins as traders weigh minor differences among model runs for boundary-layer moisture and wind. Updated forecasts tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$280结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to overnight lows near 77–79°F in Austin on August 21, driven by a strong subtropical ridge maintaining light winds, elevated dew points, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress the typical 4–6°F drop below the prior evening’s temperature that occurs on drier nights. With historical August minima averaging 74–75°F, the current setup favors values at the upper end of the normal range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 76–79°F bins as traders weigh minor differences among model runs for boundary-layer moisture and wind. Updated forecasts tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$280结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to overnight lows near 77–79°F in Austin on August 21, driven by a strong subtropical ridge maintaining light winds, elevated dew points, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress the typical 4–6°F drop below the prior evening’s temperature that occurs on drier nights. With historical August minima averaging 74–75°F, the current setup favors values at the upper end of the normal range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 76–79°F bins as traders weigh minor differences among model runs for boundary-layer moisture and wind. Updated forecasts tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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