Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 21 will likely settle near 23–24°C amid persistent summer humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and a gradual seasonal cooling trend after mid-month peaks. Cloud cover and moisture from convective activity limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums above typical late-August baselines around 21°C while urban heat retention and southerly flow prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 24°C implied probability, aligns with model agreement on these stable conditions, though any stronger frontal passage or clearer skies could shift the outcome toward 23°C or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日北京最低气温?
24°C 68%
23°C 27%
21°C 2%
22°C 2%
18°C或以下
1%
19℃
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
16%
24°C
68%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
24°C 68%
23°C 27%
21°C 2%
22°C 2%
18°C或以下
1%
19℃
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
16%
24°C
68%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 21 will likely settle near 23–24°C amid persistent summer humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and a gradual seasonal cooling trend after mid-month peaks. Cloud cover and moisture from convective activity limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums above typical late-August baselines around 21°C while urban heat retention and southerly flow prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 24°C implied probability, aligns with model agreement on these stable conditions, though any stronger frontal passage or clearer skies could shift the outcome toward 23°C or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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