**Forecast models from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and regional outlooks indicate a minimum temperature near 4–6°C for Buenos Aires on August 22, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and high pressure favoring radiative cooling but within a mild winter air mass.** This consensus supports the leading market-implied probability on 1°C or higher, as overnight lows are expected well above freezing thresholds with no polar outbreak or significant cold advection in the latest runs. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical minima around 7–11°C, and recent weeks have featured variable but non-extreme conditions without the strong southerly surges seen earlier in winter. Model agreement on dry, stable weather reduces uncertainty in the near-term forecast, though minor revisions to cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact low by 1–2°C. No major data releases or agency updates are scheduled before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
8月22日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
0°C 38%
-1°C 28%
-2°C 25%
-3°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
-9°C或以下
1%
-8°C
1%
-7°C
1%
-6°C
1%
-5°C
1%
-4°C
9%
-3°C
25%
-2°C
25%
-1°C
28%
0°C
38%
1°C或更高
31%
0°C 38%
-1°C 28%
-2°C 25%
-3°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
-9°C或以下
$5,572 交易量
1%
-8°C
$22 交易量
1%
-7°C
$22 交易量
1%
-6°C
$22 交易量
1%
-5°C
$62 交易量
1%
-4°C
$59 交易量
9%
-3°C
$0 交易量
25%
-2°C
$0 交易量
25%
-1°C
$0 交易量
28%
0°C
$0 交易量
38%
1°C或更高
$32 交易量
31%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and regional outlooks indicate a minimum temperature near 4–6°C for Buenos Aires on August 22, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and high pressure favoring radiative cooling but within a mild winter air mass.** This consensus supports the leading market-implied probability on 1°C or higher, as overnight lows are expected well above freezing thresholds with no polar outbreak or significant cold advection in the latest runs. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical minima around 7–11°C, and recent weeks have featured variable but non-extreme conditions without the strong southerly surges seen earlier in winter. Model agreement on dry, stable weather reduces uncertainty in the near-term forecast, though minor revisions to cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact low by 1–2°C. No major data releases or agency updates are scheduled before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
交易量
$5,791结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and regional outlooks indicate a minimum temperature near 4–6°C for Buenos Aires on August 22, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and high pressure favoring radiative cooling but within a mild winter air mass.** This consensus supports the leading market-implied probability on 1°C or higher, as overnight lows are expected well above freezing thresholds with no polar outbreak or significant cold advection in the latest runs. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical minima around 7–11°C, and recent weeks have featured variable but non-extreme conditions without the strong southerly surges seen earlier in winter. Model agreement on dry, stable weather reduces uncertainty in the near-term forecast, though minor revisions to cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact low by 1–2°C. No major data releases or agency updates are scheduled before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,791结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET**Forecast models from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and regional outlooks indicate a minimum temperature near 4–6°C for Buenos Aires on August 22, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and high pressure favoring radiative cooling but within a mild winter air mass.** This consensus supports the leading market-implied probability on 1°C or higher, as overnight lows are expected well above freezing thresholds with no polar outbreak or significant cold advection in the latest runs. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical minima around 7–11°C, and recent weeks have featured variable but non-extreme conditions without the strong southerly surges seen earlier in winter. Model agreement on dry, stable weather reduces uncertainty in the near-term forecast, though minor revisions to cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact low by 1–2°C. No major data releases or agency updates are scheduled before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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