Recent cold fronts crossing the Western Cape have sustained cooler-than-average conditions along the coast, with clear skies overnight promoting radiative cooling and light southerly winds limiting mixing. Official forecasts from SAWS and international models show overnight lows clustering near 11–12°C for Cape Town on 21 August, yet microclimate differences between the airport, city bowl, and Table Mountain slopes create uncertainty in the precise minimum. Historical August averages hover around 9–11°C, so trader consensus on 9°C or 10°C reflects expectations of near-normal radiative cooling without strong frontal reinforcement, while the 6–8°C band accounts for potential model underestimation of localized cold pools. Fresh model runs and surface observations tonight will narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于开普敦8月21日的最低温度?
10°C 94%
7°C 60%
8°C 35%
6°C 33%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
33%
7°C
60%
8°C
35%
9°C
19%
10°C
82%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 94%
7°C 60%
8°C 35%
6°C 33%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
33%
7°C
60%
8°C
35%
9°C
19%
10°C
82%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cold fronts crossing the Western Cape have sustained cooler-than-average conditions along the coast, with clear skies overnight promoting radiative cooling and light southerly winds limiting mixing. Official forecasts from SAWS and international models show overnight lows clustering near 11–12°C for Cape Town on 21 August, yet microclimate differences between the airport, city bowl, and Table Mountain slopes create uncertainty in the precise minimum. Historical August averages hover around 9–11°C, so trader consensus on 9°C or 10°C reflects expectations of near-normal radiative cooling without strong frontal reinforcement, while the 6–8°C band accounts for potential model underestimation of localized cold pools. Fresh model runs and surface observations tonight will narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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