National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the authoritative station for resolution, recorded a minimum temperature of 72°F at approximately 7 AM EDT on April 29, 2026, locking in the 72-73°F outcome at 100% market-implied probability. This aligns precisely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected lows of 72-75°F amid persistent southerly winds, high humidity above 80%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling—conditions typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological overnight minimums average 71-72°F. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game capital affirming the observation. Realistic challenges, such as rare post hoc sensor recalibrations by NOAA, are improbable given quality-controlled hourly reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Miami on April 29?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$12,539 交易量
$12,539 交易量
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$12,539 交易量
$12,539 交易量
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the authoritative station for resolution, recorded a minimum temperature of 72°F at approximately 7 AM EDT on April 29, 2026, locking in the 72-73°F outcome at 100% market-implied probability. This aligns precisely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected lows of 72-75°F amid persistent southerly winds, high humidity above 80%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling—conditions typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological overnight minimums average 71-72°F. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game capital affirming the observation. Realistic challenges, such as rare post hoc sensor recalibrations by NOAA, are improbable given quality-controlled hourly reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题