Recent forecast models from agencies like NOAA and European centers show an Atlantic low-pressure system bringing increased cloud cover, light winds, and possible showers to Moscow on August 21, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a daily minimum near 12–14°C. This has elevated market-implied odds for 9°C or below while keeping adjacent bins competitive, as small shifts in timing or wind speed can alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines average 13–14°C, so the current setup reflects modest cooling relative to climatology amid the frontal influence. Traders monitor updated model runs and official observations from Vnukovo for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日莫斯科最低气温？
8月21日莫斯科最低气温？
9°C or below 86%
11°C 61%
10°C 58%
12°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
9°C or below
86%
10°C
58%
11°C
61%
12°C
35%
13°C
35%
14°C
35%
15°C
34%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 86%
11°C 61%
10°C 58%
12°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
9°C or below
$87 交易量
86%
10°C
$127 交易量
58%
11°C
$92 交易量
61%
12°C
$0 交易量
35%
13°C
$0 交易量
35%
14°C
$0 交易量
35%
15°C
$16 交易量
34%
16°C
$5,356 交易量
1%
17°C
$150 交易量
<1%
18°C
$139 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$145 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like NOAA and European centers show an Atlantic low-pressure system bringing increased cloud cover, light winds, and possible showers to Moscow on August 21, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a daily minimum near 12–14°C. This has elevated market-implied odds for 9°C or below while keeping adjacent bins competitive, as small shifts in timing or wind speed can alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines average 13–14°C, so the current setup reflects modest cooling relative to climatology amid the frontal influence. Traders monitor updated model runs and official observations from Vnukovo for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$6,113结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like NOAA and European centers show an Atlantic low-pressure system bringing increased cloud cover, light winds, and possible showers to Moscow on August 21, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a daily minimum near 12–14°C. This has elevated market-implied odds for 9°C or below while keeping adjacent bins competitive, as small shifts in timing or wind speed can alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines average 13–14°C, so the current setup reflects modest cooling relative to climatology amid the frontal influence. Traders monitor updated model runs and official observations from Vnukovo for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,113结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like NOAA and European centers show an Atlantic low-pressure system bringing increased cloud cover, light winds, and possible showers to Moscow on August 21, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a daily minimum near 12–14°C. This has elevated market-implied odds for 9°C or below while keeping adjacent bins competitive, as small shifts in timing or wind speed can alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines average 13–14°C, so the current setup reflects modest cooling relative to climatology amid the frontal influence. Traders monitor updated model runs and official observations from Vnukovo for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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