**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日巴黎最低气温？
6月17日巴黎最低气温？
16°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,911 交易量
$15,911 交易量
2026-06-17
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,911 交易量
$15,911 交易量
2026-06-17
13°C或以下
$1,350 交易量
否
14°C
$1,402 交易量
否
15°C
$1,708 交易量
否
16°C
$2,331 交易量
是
17°C
$1,684 交易量
否
18°C
$2,891 交易量
否
19°C
$3,161 交易量
否
20°C
$484 交易量
否
21°C
$290 交易量
否
22°C
$305 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$305 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$15,911结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,911结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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