Current forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a daily minimum near 25°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered heavy showers that limit daytime heating and promote modest overnight cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Typical August lows average 26°C, but model consensus shows enhanced convection and rainfall moderating temperatures by 1–2°C, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25°C and 24°C outcomes. Official monitoring from regional agencies notes no extreme cold outbreaks or typhoon influences immediately altering the pattern, though forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps a smaller probability on slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日深圳最低气温？
8月21日深圳最低气温？
25°C 75%
24°C 26%
26°C 4.4%
23°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
23°C or below
1%
24°C
26%
25°C
75%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 75%
24°C 26%
26°C 4.4%
23°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
23°C or below
$164 交易量
1%
24°C
$5 交易量
26%
25°C
$167 交易量
75%
26°C
$541 交易量
4%
27°C
$190 交易量
1%
28°C
$105 交易量
<1%
29°C
$80 交易量
<1%
30°C
$80 交易量
<1%
31°C
$80 交易量
<1%
32°C
$105 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$105 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a daily minimum near 25°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered heavy showers that limit daytime heating and promote modest overnight cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Typical August lows average 26°C, but model consensus shows enhanced convection and rainfall moderating temperatures by 1–2°C, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25°C and 24°C outcomes. Official monitoring from regional agencies notes no extreme cold outbreaks or typhoon influences immediately altering the pattern, though forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps a smaller probability on slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,622结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a daily minimum near 25°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered heavy showers that limit daytime heating and promote modest overnight cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Typical August lows average 26°C, but model consensus shows enhanced convection and rainfall moderating temperatures by 1–2°C, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25°C and 24°C outcomes. Official monitoring from regional agencies notes no extreme cold outbreaks or typhoon influences immediately altering the pattern, though forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps a smaller probability on slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,622结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETCurrent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a daily minimum near 25°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered heavy showers that limit daytime heating and promote modest overnight cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Typical August lows average 26°C, but model consensus shows enhanced convection and rainfall moderating temperatures by 1–2°C, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25°C and 24°C outcomes. Official monitoring from regional agencies notes no extreme cold outbreaks or typhoon influences immediately altering the pattern, though forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps a smaller probability on slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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