The dominant 100% market-implied odds on a 28°C minimum for Singapore on August 24 reflect the official overnight reading from Meteorological Service Singapore stations, consistent with the ongoing warm spell driven by high humidity and the southwest monsoon regime that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Equatorial conditions typically produce minimums near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with recent NEA outlooks noting many nights staying above 27°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected convective showers or a brief shift in steering flow to enhance cooling below the observed threshold, though model consensus and station data showed no such signals ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月24日的最低温度?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$4,405 交易量
$4,405 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$4,405 交易量
$4,405 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The dominant 100% market-implied odds on a 28°C minimum for Singapore on August 24 reflect the official overnight reading from Meteorological Service Singapore stations, consistent with the ongoing warm spell driven by high humidity and the southwest monsoon regime that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Equatorial conditions typically produce minimums near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with recent NEA outlooks noting many nights staying above 27°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected convective showers or a brief shift in steering flow to enhance cooling below the observed threshold, though model consensus and station data showed no such signals ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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