Forecast models highlight substantial uncertainty for Tel Aviv's overnight low on August 22, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting divergent runs on cloud cover, humidity levels, and Mediterranean sea breeze strength. Recent observations show typical late-summer conditions with daytime highs near 31°C, yet subtle shifts in wind patterns or moisture advection could push the minimum below 23°C or hold it above 28°C. Historical August averages for the coastal city range 24–26°C, serving as the climatological baseline traders weigh against ensemble guidance. Updated model outputs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 12–24 hours represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日特拉维夫最低气温?
22°C or below 63%
32°C or higher 34.6%
28°C 29%
27°C 28%
22°C or below
63%
23°C
1%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
35%
22°C or below 63%
32°C or higher 34.6%
28°C 29%
27°C 28%
22°C or below
63%
23°C
1%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models highlight substantial uncertainty for Tel Aviv's overnight low on August 22, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting divergent runs on cloud cover, humidity levels, and Mediterranean sea breeze strength. Recent observations show typical late-summer conditions with daytime highs near 31°C, yet subtle shifts in wind patterns or moisture advection could push the minimum below 23°C or hold it above 28°C. Historical August averages for the coastal city range 24–26°C, serving as the climatological baseline traders weigh against ensemble guidance. Updated model outputs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 12–24 hours represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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