Roseana Sarney's 70% market price reflects traders' assessment of her frontrunner status in the Maranhão Senate race, driven by her July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement as an MDB federal deputy and former state governor. Her family's longstanding influence in Maranhão politics, combined with high name recognition, has positioned her ahead of the field in early polling and betting consensus. Eliziane Gama, the incumbent senator who switched to the PT in April 2026, trades at 10% amid efforts to consolidate support for reelection, while lower-priced contenders such as Wilson Leite and Weverton Rocha face structural challenges in building comparable statewide coalitions. With the October election still months away, scheduled primaries, party negotiations, and any shifts in alliances could alter probabilities before voters decide the top finisher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Roseana Sarney 71%
Weverton Rocha 11%
Fufuca 10%
Simplício Araújo 10%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Roseana Sarney
71%
Weverton Rocha
11%
Fufuca
10%
Simplício Araújo
10%
Lahesio Bonfim
10%
Eliziane Gama
10%
Wilson Leite
9%
Raimundo Moreira
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
6%
Cidônio Gonçalves
5%
Enilton Rodrigues
4%
Roseana Sarney 71%
Weverton Rocha 11%
Fufuca 10%
Simplício Araújo 10%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Roseana Sarney
$125 交易量
71%
Weverton Rocha
$71 交易量
11%
Fufuca
$71 交易量
10%
Simplício Araújo
$71 交易量
10%
Lahesio Bonfim
$71 交易量
10%
Eliziane Gama
$71 交易量
10%
Wilson Leite
$70 交易量
9%
Raimundo Moreira
$92 交易量
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$92 交易量
6%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$71 交易量
5%
Enilton Rodrigues
$63 交易量
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney's 70% market price reflects traders' assessment of her frontrunner status in the Maranhão Senate race, driven by her July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement as an MDB federal deputy and former state governor. Her family's longstanding influence in Maranhão politics, combined with high name recognition, has positioned her ahead of the field in early polling and betting consensus. Eliziane Gama, the incumbent senator who switched to the PT in April 2026, trades at 10% amid efforts to consolidate support for reelection, while lower-priced contenders such as Wilson Leite and Weverton Rocha face structural challenges in building comparable statewide coalitions. With the October election still months away, scheduled primaries, party negotiations, and any shifts in alliances could alter probabilities before voters decide the top finisher.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
交易量
$868结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney's 70% market price reflects traders' assessment of her frontrunner status in the Maranhão Senate race, driven by her July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement as an MDB federal deputy and former state governor. Her family's longstanding influence in Maranhão politics, combined with high name recognition, has positioned her ahead of the field in early polling and betting consensus. Eliziane Gama, the incumbent senator who switched to the PT in April 2026, trades at 10% amid efforts to consolidate support for reelection, while lower-priced contenders such as Wilson Leite and Weverton Rocha face structural challenges in building comparable statewide coalitions. With the October election still months away, scheduled primaries, party negotiations, and any shifts in alliances could alter probabilities before voters decide the top finisher.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$868结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney's 70% market price reflects traders' assessment of her frontrunner status in the Maranhão Senate race, driven by her July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement as an MDB federal deputy and former state governor. Her family's longstanding influence in Maranhão politics, combined with high name recognition, has positioned her ahead of the field in early polling and betting consensus. Eliziane Gama, the incumbent senator who switched to the PT in April 2026, trades at 10% amid efforts to consolidate support for reelection, while lower-priced contenders such as Wilson Leite and Weverton Rocha face structural challenges in building comparable statewide coalitions. With the October election still months away, scheduled primaries, party negotiations, and any shifts in alliances could alter probabilities before voters decide the top finisher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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