Recent April CPI data showed a 0.6 percent month-over-month increase, aligning with consensus forecasts while lifting the year-over-year rate to 3.8 percent amid elevated energy costs from geopolitical tensions. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for May point to a 0.46 percent headline gain and 0.23 percent core advance, supporting the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 0.5 percent and 0.6 percent outcomes at 33.0 percent and 30.5 percent respectively. Persistent shelter and food price pressures alongside moderating goods deflation continue to shape expectations, with the June 10 release serving as the immediate catalyst that will resolve the narrow spread between these two leading scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.5% 33%
0.6% 31%
0.7% 14%
0.4% 12%
≤0.1%
3%
0.2%
4%
0.3%
5%
0.4%
12%
0.5%
33%
0.6%
31%
0.7%
14%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
5%
0.5% 33%
0.6% 31%
0.7% 14%
0.4% 12%
≤0.1%
3%
0.2%
4%
0.3%
5%
0.4%
12%
0.5%
33%
0.6%
31%
0.7%
14%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
5%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showed a 0.6 percent month-over-month increase, aligning with consensus forecasts while lifting the year-over-year rate to 3.8 percent amid elevated energy costs from geopolitical tensions. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for May point to a 0.46 percent headline gain and 0.23 percent core advance, supporting the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 0.5 percent and 0.6 percent outcomes at 33.0 percent and 30.5 percent respectively. Persistent shelter and food price pressures alongside moderating goods deflation continue to shape expectations, with the June 10 release serving as the immediate catalyst that will resolve the narrow spread between these two leading scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题