Trader consensus assigns Apple a 67% implied probability of ranking as the third-largest company by market capitalization at end-June 2026, ahead of Alphabet at 33%, as current valuations place NVIDIA first, Alphabet second, and Apple third with narrow gaps between the latter two. Alphabet's lead stems from its 2025 outperformance and AI-driven revenue growth, while Apple's position reflects resilient services and device sales amid less pronounced AI tailwinds. NVIDIA's dominance arises from sustained semiconductor demand. The sub-3% odds for Microsoft, Amazon, and others reflect their materially lower market caps, with limited scope for reversal in the remaining days absent sharp price swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Apple 100.0%
Alphabet 5.6%
NVIDIA <1%
Microsoft <1%
$153,057 交易量
$153,057 交易量
2026-06-30
NVIDIA
No
Microsoft
No
Apple
Yes
Alphabet
No
Tesla
No
Saudi Aramco
No
Amazon
No
Broadcom
No
Apple 100.0%
Alphabet 5.6%
NVIDIA <1%
Microsoft <1%
$153,057 交易量
$153,057 交易量
2026-06-30
NVIDIA
$26,811 交易量
No
Microsoft
$15,524 交易量
No
Apple
$38,163 交易量
Yes
Alphabet
$35,312 交易量
No
Tesla
$11,084 交易量
No
Saudi Aramco
$4,994 交易量
No
Amazon
$15,423 交易量
No
Broadcom
$5,745 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns Apple a 67% implied probability of ranking as the third-largest company by market capitalization at end-June 2026, ahead of Alphabet at 33%, as current valuations place NVIDIA first, Alphabet second, and Apple third with narrow gaps between the latter two. Alphabet's lead stems from its 2025 outperformance and AI-driven revenue growth, while Apple's position reflects resilient services and device sales amid less pronounced AI tailwinds. NVIDIA's dominance arises from sustained semiconductor demand. The sub-3% odds for Microsoft, Amazon, and others reflect their materially lower market caps, with limited scope for reversal in the remaining days absent sharp price swings.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
交易量
$153,057结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns Apple a 67% implied probability of ranking as the third-largest company by market capitalization at end-June 2026, ahead of Alphabet at 33%, as current valuations place NVIDIA first, Alphabet second, and Apple third with narrow gaps between the latter two. Alphabet's lead stems from its 2025 outperformance and AI-driven revenue growth, while Apple's position reflects resilient services and device sales amid less pronounced AI tailwinds. NVIDIA's dominance arises from sustained semiconductor demand. The sub-3% odds for Microsoft, Amazon, and others reflect their materially lower market caps, with limited scope for reversal in the remaining days absent sharp price swings.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$153,057结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus assigns Apple a 67% implied probability of ranking as the third-largest company by market capitalization at end-June 2026, ahead of Alphabet at 33%, as current valuations place NVIDIA first, Alphabet second, and Apple third with narrow gaps between the latter two. Alphabet's lead stems from its 2025 outperformance and AI-driven revenue growth, while Apple's position reflects resilient services and device sales amid less pronounced AI tailwinds. NVIDIA's dominance arises from sustained semiconductor demand. The sub-3% odds for Microsoft, Amazon, and others reflect their materially lower market caps, with limited scope for reversal in the remaining days absent sharp price swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题