Recent April 2026 CPI data printed at 3.8% year-over-year—above the 3.7% consensus and the highest since May 2023—primarily due to a sharp energy price surge tied to geopolitical oil shocks, with gasoline costs rising 28.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May 2026 headline CPI at 4.18% year-over-year and 0.46% month-over-month as of June 4, sustaining upward pressure into the June 10 release. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes on Polymarket, reflecting real-capital bets on persistent headline inflation momentum from commodities rather than core measures. Market-implied odds price in limited downside risk below 4.1% ahead of the report, consistent with ongoing labor market resilience and elevated Treasury yields.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4.2% 48%
4.3% 36%
4.1% 8.4%
≥4.4% 7%
$388,463 交易量
$388,463 交易量
2026-06-10
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
2%
4.1%
8%
4.2%
48%
4.3%
36%
≥4.4%
7%
4.2% 48%
4.3% 36%
4.1% 8.4%
≥4.4% 7%
$388,463 交易量
$388,463 交易量
2026-06-10
≤3.3%
$19,520 交易量
<1%
3.4%
$18,916 交易量
<1%
3.5%
$36,743 交易量
<1%
3.6%
$22,313 交易量
<1%
3.7%
$23,967 交易量
<1%
3.8%
$23,949 交易量
<1%
3.9%
$29,419 交易量
<1%
4.0%
$27,716 交易量
2%
4.1%
$31,784 交易量
8%
4.2%
$47,107 交易量
48%
4.3%
$64,907 交易量
36%
≥4.4%
$42,126 交易量
7%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data printed at 3.8% year-over-year—above the 3.7% consensus and the highest since May 2023—primarily due to a sharp energy price surge tied to geopolitical oil shocks, with gasoline costs rising 28.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May 2026 headline CPI at 4.18% year-over-year and 0.46% month-over-month as of June 4, sustaining upward pressure into the June 10 release. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes on Polymarket, reflecting real-capital bets on persistent headline inflation momentum from commodities rather than core measures. Market-implied odds price in limited downside risk below 4.1% ahead of the report, consistent with ongoing labor market resilience and elevated Treasury yields.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
交易量
$388,463结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data printed at 3.8% year-over-year—above the 3.7% consensus and the highest since May 2023—primarily due to a sharp energy price surge tied to geopolitical oil shocks, with gasoline costs rising 28.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May 2026 headline CPI at 4.18% year-over-year and 0.46% month-over-month as of June 4, sustaining upward pressure into the June 10 release. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes on Polymarket, reflecting real-capital bets on persistent headline inflation momentum from commodities rather than core measures. Market-implied odds price in limited downside risk below 4.1% ahead of the report, consistent with ongoing labor market resilience and elevated Treasury yields.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$388,463结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 CPI data printed at 3.8% year-over-year—above the 3.7% consensus and the highest since May 2023—primarily due to a sharp energy price surge tied to geopolitical oil shocks, with gasoline costs rising 28.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May 2026 headline CPI at 4.18% year-over-year and 0.46% month-over-month as of June 4, sustaining upward pressure into the June 10 release. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes on Polymarket, reflecting real-capital bets on persistent headline inflation momentum from commodities rather than core measures. Market-implied odds price in limited downside risk below 4.1% ahead of the report, consistent with ongoing labor market resilience and elevated Treasury yields.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题