Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89%. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 86% of the vote, facing minimal opposition. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and concentration of Democratic voters in the Delta and Jackson area have produced consistent double-digit margins for Thompson, including 62% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who won his primary, faces the same structural barriers that have kept the seat out of reach in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, with no major developments since the primaries altering the outlook ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,095 交易量
$26,095 交易量
民主党
89%
共和党
10%
$26,095 交易量
$26,095 交易量
民主党
89%
共和党
10%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89%. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 86% of the vote, facing minimal opposition. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and concentration of Democratic voters in the Delta and Jackson area have produced consistent double-digit margins for Thompson, including 62% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who won his primary, faces the same structural barriers that have kept the seat out of reach in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, with no major developments since the primaries altering the outlook ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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