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贝宁下任总统

Market icon

贝宁下任总统

$29,903 交易量

Polymarket

$29,903 交易量

罗穆阿尔德·瓦达尼会成为贝宁的下任总统吗? icon

罗穆阿尔德·瓦达尼

$20,544 交易量

98%

保罗·洪克佩会成为贝宁的下一任总统吗? icon

保罗·洪克佩

$9,359 交易量

<1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Provisional results from Benin's April 12 presidential election show Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes with more than 90% of ballots counted, prompting sole opposition candidate Paul Hounkpè to concede defeat and the electoral commission to deem the outcome irreversible. As President Patrice Talon's endorsed successor after parliamentary polls cleared his path, Wadagni's landslide reflects strong ruling party control amid a restricted opposition field following prior candidate disqualifications. Trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability anticipates official confirmation ahead of inauguration, with rare disruptions like successful legal challenges or proven irregularities as the only realistic hurdles, though Hounkpè's concession minimizes such risks.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,903
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Provisional results from Benin's April 12 presidential election show Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes with more than 90% of ballots counted, prompting sole opposition candidate Paul Hounkpè to concede defeat and the electoral commission to deem the outcome irreversible. As President Patrice Talon's endorsed successor after parliamentary polls cleared his path, Wadagni's landslide reflects strong ruling party control amid a restricted opposition field following prior candidate disqualifications. Trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability anticipates official confirmation ahead of inauguration, with rare disruptions like successful legal challenges or proven irregularities as the only realistic hurdles, though Hounkpè's concession minimizes such risks.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,903
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"贝宁下任总统"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"罗穆阿尔德·瓦达尼",概率为 98%,其次是"保罗·洪克佩",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"贝宁下任总统"已产生 $29.9K 的总交易量(自Mar 19, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"贝宁下任总统"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"贝宁下任总统"的当前领先者是"罗穆阿尔德·瓦达尼",概率为 98%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"保罗·洪克佩",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"贝宁下任总统"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。