OpenAI’s current $852 billion private valuation, set in its March 2026 $122 billion round and reaffirmed by an August employee tender offer funded internally, underpins the 59.4% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion or higher by year-end. Strong revenue momentum—with annualized run rate exceeding $40 billion in August, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise adoption, and API usage—supports continued growth, yet the company’s confidential June IPO filing and signals favoring a 2027 debut (to target at least $1 trillion) reduce near-term catalysts. CEO Sam Altman has called sub-$1 trillion pricing a non-starter, while high infrastructure costs and losses create execution risk. Traders weigh rapid AI demand against the timeline compression needed before December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年OpenAI估值超过1万$ ？
2026年OpenAI估值超过1万$ ？
是
64% 概率
$26,947 交易量
$26,947 交易量
2026-12-31
是
64% 概率
$26,947 交易量
$26,947 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s current $852 billion private valuation, set in its March 2026 $122 billion round and reaffirmed by an August employee tender offer funded internally, underpins the 59.4% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion or higher by year-end. Strong revenue momentum—with annualized run rate exceeding $40 billion in August, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise adoption, and API usage—supports continued growth, yet the company’s confidential June IPO filing and signals favoring a 2027 debut (to target at least $1 trillion) reduce near-term catalysts. CEO Sam Altman has called sub-$1 trillion pricing a non-starter, while high infrastructure costs and losses create execution risk. Traders weigh rapid AI demand against the timeline compression needed before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
交易量
$26,947结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s current $852 billion private valuation, set in its March 2026 $122 billion round and reaffirmed by an August employee tender offer funded internally, underpins the 59.4% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion or higher by year-end. Strong revenue momentum—with annualized run rate exceeding $40 billion in August, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise adoption, and API usage—supports continued growth, yet the company’s confidential June IPO filing and signals favoring a 2027 debut (to target at least $1 trillion) reduce near-term catalysts. CEO Sam Altman has called sub-$1 trillion pricing a non-starter, while high infrastructure costs and losses create execution risk. Traders weigh rapid AI demand against the timeline compression needed before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,947结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETOpenAI’s current $852 billion private valuation, set in its March 2026 $122 billion round and reaffirmed by an August employee tender offer funded internally, underpins the 59.4% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion or higher by year-end. Strong revenue momentum—with annualized run rate exceeding $40 billion in August, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise adoption, and API usage—supports continued growth, yet the company’s confidential June IPO filing and signals favoring a 2027 debut (to target at least $1 trillion) reduce near-term catalysts. CEO Sam Altman has called sub-$1 trillion pricing a non-starter, while high infrastructure costs and losses create execution risk. Traders weigh rapid AI demand against the timeline compression needed before December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题