Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70-75% turnout (83.5%) for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical first-round participation around 74% in 2021 amid chronic political instability that has seen eight presidents in a decade, fostering voter apathy in a fragmented race with over 35 candidates and high undecided voters (over 30% in late polls). Severe logistical failures—ballot delivery delays affecting 60,000-plus in Lima (30% of electorate), late-opening stations, power outages, and voting extensions to a second day—dominated the past 48 hours, spurring reports of low turnout at key urban sites and likely capping participation below prior highs like 81% in 2016. Official figures from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) are pending amid delayed results, with a June 7 runoff probable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于70-75% 83.5%
75-80% 14%
80-85% 2.0%
低于70% 1.6%
$126,805 交易量
$126,805 交易量
2026-04-12
低于70%
2%
70-75%
84%
75-80%
14%
80-85%
2%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 83.5%
75-80% 14%
80-85% 2.0%
低于70% 1.6%
$126,805 交易量
$126,805 交易量
2026-04-12
低于70%
$18,977 交易量
2%
70-75%
$35,254 交易量
84%
75-80%
$19,779 交易量
14%
80-85%
$44,891 交易量
2%
> 85%
$8,030 交易量
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70-75% turnout (83.5%) for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical first-round participation around 74% in 2021 amid chronic political instability that has seen eight presidents in a decade, fostering voter apathy in a fragmented race with over 35 candidates and high undecided voters (over 30% in late polls). Severe logistical failures—ballot delivery delays affecting 60,000-plus in Lima (30% of electorate), late-opening stations, power outages, and voting extensions to a second day—dominated the past 48 hours, spurring reports of low turnout at key urban sites and likely capping participation below prior highs like 81% in 2016. Official figures from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) are pending amid delayed results, with a June 7 runoff probable.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
交易量
$126,805结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70-75% turnout (83.5%) for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical first-round participation around 74% in 2021 amid chronic political instability that has seen eight presidents in a decade, fostering voter apathy in a fragmented race with over 35 candidates and high undecided voters (over 30% in late polls). Severe logistical failures—ballot delivery delays affecting 60,000-plus in Lima (30% of electorate), late-opening stations, power outages, and voting extensions to a second day—dominated the past 48 hours, spurring reports of low turnout at key urban sites and likely capping participation below prior highs like 81% in 2016. Official figures from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) are pending amid delayed results, with a June 7 runoff probable.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$126,805结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70-75% turnout (83.5%) for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical first-round participation around 74% in 2021 amid chronic political instability that has seen eight presidents in a decade, fostering voter apathy in a fragmented race with over 35 candidates and high undecided voters (over 30% in late polls). Severe logistical failures—ballot delivery delays affecting 60,000-plus in Lima (30% of electorate), late-opening stations, power outages, and voting extensions to a second day—dominated the past 48 hours, spurring reports of low turnout at key urban sites and likely capping participation below prior highs like 81% in 2016. Official figures from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) are pending amid delayed results, with a June 7 runoff probable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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