**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70-75% turnout (83%) for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, aligning with historical precedents like the 74% in 2021 amid a decade-long decline from 81% in 2016, bolstered by compulsory voting and fines for non-participation.** Logistical chaos from a contractor's ballot delivery failures delayed results and extended voting into a second day, with reports of low turnout in Lima urban centers potentially offset by stronger rural participation and 40% abroad. Preliminary ONPE actas processing (over 75% for candidates) implies stabilization in the 70-75% band, as fragmentation among 36 candidates dampened enthusiasm without derailing mandatory compliance. A June 7 runoff looms, but turnout resolution awaits full official padron validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于70-75% 83.4%
75-80% 13%
80-85% 2.9%
低于70% 1.5%
$126,476 交易量
$126,476 交易量
低于70%
2%
70-75%
83%
75-80%
13%
80-85%
3%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 83.4%
75-80% 13%
80-85% 2.9%
低于70% 1.5%
$126,476 交易量
$126,476 交易量
低于70%
2%
70-75%
83%
75-80%
13%
80-85%
3%
> 85%
1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70-75% turnout (83%) for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, aligning with historical precedents like the 74% in 2021 amid a decade-long decline from 81% in 2016, bolstered by compulsory voting and fines for non-participation.** Logistical chaos from a contractor's ballot delivery failures delayed results and extended voting into a second day, with reports of low turnout in Lima urban centers potentially offset by stronger rural participation and 40% abroad. Preliminary ONPE actas processing (over 75% for candidates) implies stabilization in the 70-75% band, as fragmentation among 36 candidates dampened enthusiasm without derailing mandatory compliance. A June 7 runoff looms, but turnout resolution awaits full official padron validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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