Hong Kong Observatory measurements through late May 2026 recorded 215 mm of rainfall, placing the monthly total near the lower end of the typical 220–300 mm climatological range for the period amid scattered convective showers and isolated heavy episodes rather than persistent monsoon systems. This observational baseline, combined with minimal additional accumulation expected or recorded by month-end, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on the 220–230 mm outcome. The market-implied probability reflects aggregated assessments of official daily extracts and forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, though final verification could shift slightly if post-28 May data revisions or localized measurement differences alter the precise total.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?
220-230mm 100.0%
<180mm <1%
180-190mm <1%
190-200mm <1%
$102,036 交易量
$102,036 交易量
2026-05-31
<180mm
No
180-190mm
No
190-200mm
No
200-210mm
No
210-220mm
No
220-230mm
Yes
230-240mm
No
240mm+
No
220-230mm 100.0%
<180mm <1%
180-190mm <1%
190-200mm <1%
$102,036 交易量
$102,036 交易量
2026-05-31
<180mm
$17,065 交易量
No
180-190mm
$11,176 交易量
No
190-200mm
$8,849 交易量
No
200-210mm
$17,453 交易量
No
210-220mm
$17,913 交易量
No
220-230mm
$11,411 交易量
Yes
230-240mm
$7,090 交易量
No
240mm+
$11,079 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory measurements through late May 2026 recorded 215 mm of rainfall, placing the monthly total near the lower end of the typical 220–300 mm climatological range for the period amid scattered convective showers and isolated heavy episodes rather than persistent monsoon systems. This observational baseline, combined with minimal additional accumulation expected or recorded by month-end, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on the 220–230 mm outcome. The market-implied probability reflects aggregated assessments of official daily extracts and forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, though final verification could shift slightly if post-28 May data revisions or localized measurement differences alter the precise total.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$102,036结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory measurements through late May 2026 recorded 215 mm of rainfall, placing the monthly total near the lower end of the typical 220–300 mm climatological range for the period amid scattered convective showers and isolated heavy episodes rather than persistent monsoon systems. This observational baseline, combined with minimal additional accumulation expected or recorded by month-end, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on the 220–230 mm outcome. The market-implied probability reflects aggregated assessments of official daily extracts and forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, though final verification could shift slightly if post-28 May data revisions or localized measurement differences alter the precise total.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$102,036结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Hong Kong Observatory measurements through late May 2026 recorded 215 mm of rainfall, placing the monthly total near the lower end of the typical 220–300 mm climatological range for the period amid scattered convective showers and isolated heavy episodes rather than persistent monsoon systems. This observational baseline, combined with minimal additional accumulation expected or recorded by month-end, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on the 220–230 mm outcome. The market-implied probability reflects aggregated assessments of official daily extracts and forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, though final verification could shift slightly if post-28 May data revisions or localized measurement differences alter the precise total.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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