Carol de Toni leads trader consensus for first place in Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate race, where two seats are contested, reflecting her strong positioning among PL candidates backed by party coordination and recent polling momentum. July surveys showed Carlos Bolsonaro ahead in first-preference votes at around 28 percent to her 21 percent, with Décio Lima, Esperidião Amin, and others trailing, yet second-preference questions often elevated de Toni, underscoring fluid voter transfers in a crowded field. Multiple registered contenders and the staggered Senate calendar sustain uncertainty, with late-campaign shifts in turnout or alliances among center-right and opposition blocs most likely to reorder the top finishers before October.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Carol de Toni 44%
Jeferson da Rocha 18%
Afrânio Boppré 13%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado 10%

Carol de Toni
44%

Jeferson da Rocha
18%

Afrânio Boppré
22%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
10%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
10%

Carlos Bolsonaro
9%

Décio Lima
9%

Marlene Soccas
9%

Joaninha de Oliveira
13%

Carol
7%

Esperidião Amin
6%

Lunelli
6%

Marcos Dorval
1%
Carol de Toni 44%
Jeferson da Rocha 18%
Afrânio Boppré 13%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado 10%

Carol de Toni
44%

Jeferson da Rocha
18%

Afrânio Boppré
22%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
10%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
10%

Carlos Bolsonaro
9%

Décio Lima
9%

Marlene Soccas
9%

Joaninha de Oliveira
13%

Carol
7%

Esperidião Amin
6%

Lunelli
6%

Marcos Dorval
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Carol de Toni leads trader consensus for first place in Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate race, where two seats are contested, reflecting her strong positioning among PL candidates backed by party coordination and recent polling momentum. July surveys showed Carlos Bolsonaro ahead in first-preference votes at around 28 percent to her 21 percent, with Décio Lima, Esperidião Amin, and others trailing, yet second-preference questions often elevated de Toni, underscoring fluid voter transfers in a crowded field. Multiple registered contenders and the staggered Senate calendar sustain uncertainty, with late-campaign shifts in turnout or alliances among center-right and opposition blocs most likely to reorder the top finishers before October.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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