In Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader sentiment for second place remains tightly balanced because recent polling and candidate conventions show a fragmented field where no single non-PL contender has consolidated support. Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement of PL candidates Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro has positioned that party for the top spots in July surveys, yet Antídio Lunelli, Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and several others continue to register measurable but sub-30% shares that keep second-place probabilities near parity. With eight weeks until the vote and high undecided levels in state surveys, shifts in turnout among southern conservative and center-left voters or late party alignments could separate the pack before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jeferson da Rocha 23%
阿弗拉尼奥·博普雷 22%
图利奥·德·阿莫林·普富岑赖特 21%
卡罗尔·德·托尼 20%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Jeferson da Rocha
23%
阿弗拉尼奥·博普雷
22%
图利奥·德·阿莫林·普富岑赖特
21%
卡罗尔·德·托尼
20%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
19%
马科斯·多瓦尔
19%
玛琳妮·索卡斯
19%
埃斯佩里迪昂·阿明
18%
卡洛斯·博尔索纳罗
16%
卡萝
18%
卢内利
14%
Décio Lima
13%
Joaninha de Oliveira
18%
Jeferson da Rocha 23%
阿弗拉尼奥·博普雷 22%
图利奥·德·阿莫林·普富岑赖特 21%
卡罗尔·德·托尼 20%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Jeferson da Rocha
$21 交易量
23%
阿弗拉尼奥·博普雷
$21 交易量
22%
图利奥·德·阿莫林·普富岑赖特
$21 交易量
21%
卡罗尔·德·托尼
$21 交易量
20%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$21 交易量
19%
马科斯·多瓦尔
$21 交易量
19%
玛琳妮·索卡斯
$21 交易量
19%
埃斯佩里迪昂·阿明
$21 交易量
18%
卡洛斯·博尔索纳罗
$42 交易量
16%
卡萝
$62 交易量
18%
卢内利
$42 交易量
14%
Décio Lima
$42 交易量
13%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$41 交易量
18%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader sentiment for second place remains tightly balanced because recent polling and candidate conventions show a fragmented field where no single non-PL contender has consolidated support. Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement of PL candidates Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro has positioned that party for the top spots in July surveys, yet Antídio Lunelli, Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and several others continue to register measurable but sub-30% shares that keep second-place probabilities near parity. With eight weeks until the vote and high undecided levels in state surveys, shifts in turnout among southern conservative and center-left voters or late party alignments could separate the pack before resolution.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
交易量
$397结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader sentiment for second place remains tightly balanced because recent polling and candidate conventions show a fragmented field where no single non-PL contender has consolidated support. Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement of PL candidates Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro has positioned that party for the top spots in July surveys, yet Antídio Lunelli, Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and several others continue to register measurable but sub-30% shares that keep second-place probabilities near parity. With eight weeks until the vote and high undecided levels in state surveys, shifts in turnout among southern conservative and center-left voters or late party alignments could separate the pack before resolution.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$397结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader sentiment for second place remains tightly balanced because recent polling and candidate conventions show a fragmented field where no single non-PL contender has consolidated support. Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement of PL candidates Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro has positioned that party for the top spots in July surveys, yet Antídio Lunelli, Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and several others continue to register measurable but sub-30% shares that keep second-place probabilities near parity. With eight weeks until the vote and high undecided levels in state surveys, shifts in turnout among southern conservative and center-left voters or late party alignments could separate the pack before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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