In Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff set for April 19, trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco of the Libre alliance at 76.5% implied probability over Otto Ritter of Santa Cruz Para Todos at 21.5%, reflecting Velasco's first-round lead of about 30% to Ritter's 27% on March 22 and a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him ahead 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The April 12 debate highlighted clashes on development and security, but Velasco gained ground as more voters see him winning (48% vs. 35%). Incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho's first-round elimination after his 2025 jail release keeps others at negligible odds, amid high regional stakes in this fragmented political map.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科 76.7%
奥托·里特 19.0%
胡安·卡洛斯·梅德拉诺 <1%
毛里西奥·克萨达 <1%
$798,772 交易量
$798,772 交易量
2026-04-19
胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科
77%
奥托·里特
19%
胡安·卡洛斯·梅德拉诺
<1%
毛里西奥·克萨达
<1%
池贤钟
<1%
胡利奥·塞萨尔·托雷斯
<1%
圭多·爱德华多·纳亚尔
<1%
米格尔·卡迪马
<1%
弗拉基米尔·佩尼亚
<1%
路易斯·费尔南多·卡马乔
<1%
胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科 76.7%
奥托·里特 19.0%
胡安·卡洛斯·梅德拉诺 <1%
毛里西奥·克萨达 <1%
$798,772 交易量
$798,772 交易量
2026-04-19
胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科
$335,312 交易量
77%
奥托·里特
$106,353 交易量
19%
胡安·卡洛斯·梅德拉诺
$26,745 交易量
<1%
毛里西奥·克萨达
$21,893 交易量
<1%
池贤钟
$26,234 交易量
<1%
胡利奥·塞萨尔·托雷斯
$26,347 交易量
<1%
圭多·爱德华多·纳亚尔
$50,705 交易量
<1%
米格尔·卡迪马
$23,254 交易量
<1%
弗拉基米尔·佩尼亚
$38,716 交易量
<1%
路易斯·费尔南多·卡马乔
$143,235 交易量
<1%
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff set for April 19, trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco of the Libre alliance at 76.5% implied probability over Otto Ritter of Santa Cruz Para Todos at 21.5%, reflecting Velasco's first-round lead of about 30% to Ritter's 27% on March 22 and a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him ahead 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The April 12 debate highlighted clashes on development and security, but Velasco gained ground as more voters see him winning (48% vs. 35%). Incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho's first-round elimination after his 2025 jail release keeps others at negligible odds, amid high regional stakes in this fragmented political map.
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
市场开放时间： Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
交易量
$798,772结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff set for April 19, trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco of the Libre alliance at 76.5% implied probability over Otto Ritter of Santa Cruz Para Todos at 21.5%, reflecting Velasco's first-round lead of about 30% to Ritter's 27% on March 22 and a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him ahead 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The April 12 debate highlighted clashes on development and security, but Velasco gained ground as more voters see him winning (48% vs. 35%). Incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho's first-round elimination after his 2025 jail release keeps others at negligible odds, amid high regional stakes in this fragmented political map.
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$798,772结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff set for April 19, trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco of the Libre alliance at 76.5% implied probability over Otto Ritter of Santa Cruz Para Todos at 21.5%, reflecting Velasco's first-round lead of about 30% to Ritter's 27% on March 22 and a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him ahead 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The April 12 debate highlighted clashes on development and security, but Velasco gained ground as more voters see him winning (48% vs. 35%). Incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho's first-round elimination after his 2025 jail release keeps others at negligible odds, amid high regional stakes in this fragmented political map.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题