Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) remains active into its fourth year, with SAF battlefield gains in North Kordofan during July–August 2026—including recapture of key towns and supply routes—shifting momentum and reducing immediate incentives for concessions. A US-backed proposal for a 90-day humanitarian truce has advanced through mediators but stalled over SAF demands for full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and verifiable disarmament arrangements before any pause. Recent steps include a UN-facilitated prisoner exchange in June, SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan’s August announcement of a national dialogue process with temporary immunity guarantees for participants (excluding RSF leadership), and ongoing Quintet and Saudi-Egyptian diplomatic efforts. RSF drone strikes and defections continue amid supply strains, while cross-border incidents and humanitarian access issues persist. Resolution of any ceasefire market would hinge on verifiable agreements between the parties, monitored withdrawals, or sustained battlefield stalemate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$119,414 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
8%
$119,414 交易量
2026年12月31日
$14,875 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) remains active into its fourth year, with SAF battlefield gains in North Kordofan during July–August 2026—including recapture of key towns and supply routes—shifting momentum and reducing immediate incentives for concessions. A US-backed proposal for a 90-day humanitarian truce has advanced through mediators but stalled over SAF demands for full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and verifiable disarmament arrangements before any pause. Recent steps include a UN-facilitated prisoner exchange in June, SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan’s August announcement of a national dialogue process with temporary immunity guarantees for participants (excluding RSF leadership), and ongoing Quintet and Saudi-Egyptian diplomatic efforts. RSF drone strikes and defections continue amid supply strains, while cross-border incidents and humanitarian access issues persist. Resolution of any ceasefire market would hinge on verifiable agreements between the parties, monitored withdrawals, or sustained battlefield stalemate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
交易量
$119,414结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) remains active into its fourth year, with SAF battlefield gains in North Kordofan during July–August 2026—including recapture of key towns and supply routes—shifting momentum and reducing immediate incentives for concessions. A US-backed proposal for a 90-day humanitarian truce has advanced through mediators but stalled over SAF demands for full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and verifiable disarmament arrangements before any pause. Recent steps include a UN-facilitated prisoner exchange in June, SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan’s August announcement of a national dialogue process with temporary immunity guarantees for participants (excluding RSF leadership), and ongoing Quintet and Saudi-Egyptian diplomatic efforts. RSF drone strikes and defections continue amid supply strains, while cross-border incidents and humanitarian access issues persist. Resolution of any ceasefire market would hinge on verifiable agreements between the parties, monitored withdrawals, or sustained battlefield stalemate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
交易量
$119,414结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETSudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) remains active into its fourth year, with SAF battlefield gains in North Kordofan during July–August 2026—including recapture of key towns and supply routes—shifting momentum and reducing immediate incentives for concessions. A US-backed proposal for a 90-day humanitarian truce has advanced through mediators but stalled over SAF demands for full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and verifiable disarmament arrangements before any pause. Recent steps include a UN-facilitated prisoner exchange in June, SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan’s August announcement of a national dialogue process with temporary immunity guarantees for participants (excluding RSF leadership), and ongoing Quintet and Saudi-Egyptian diplomatic efforts. RSF drone strikes and defections continue amid supply strains, while cross-border incidents and humanitarian access issues persist. Resolution of any ceasefire market would hinge on verifiable agreements between the parties, monitored withdrawals, or sustained battlefield stalemate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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