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2026年第一季度美国GDP增长情况如何?

Market icon

2026年第一季度美国GDP增长情况如何?

低于1.0% 21.7%

≥3.5% 16%

3.0–3.5% 14%

2.5–3.0% 11.8%

Polymarket

$117,944 交易量

低于1.0% 21.7%

≥3.5% 16%

3.0–3.5% 14%

2.5–3.0% 11.8%

Polymarket

$117,944 交易量

低于1.0%

$14,144 交易量

22%

1.0–1.5%

$0 交易量

11%

1.5–2.0%

$5,148 交易量

12%

2.0–2.5%

$25,293 交易量

12%

2.5–3.0%

$6,555 交易量

12%

3.0–3.5%

$15,809 交易量

14%

≥3.5%

$50,994 交易量

16%

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.

If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
交易量
$117,944
结束日期
Apr 30, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution. If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年第一季度美国GDP增长情况如何?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"低于1.0%",概率为 22%,其次是"≥3.5%",概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 22¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 22%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2026年第一季度美国GDP增长情况如何?"已产生 $117.9K 的总交易量(自Dec 23, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年第一季度美国GDP增长情况如何?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年第一季度美国GDP增长情况如何?"的当前领先者是"低于1.0%",概率为 22%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 22%。紧随其后的结果是"≥3.5%",概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年第一季度美国GDP增长情况如何?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。