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政治·国会

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Market icon
政治·国会

Which bills will become law in 2026?

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,569 交易量

Polymarket

Housing for the 21st Century Act

$1,452 交易量

61%

Film/TV production expensing

$0 交易量

52%

Credit-card routing competition

$0 交易量

50%

SELF DRIVE Act

$0 交易量

48%

Export-control chip security

$0 交易量

48%

DEFIANCE Act

$0 交易量

45%

Critical-minerals stockpile

$0 交易量

45%

Smithsonian Women’s History Museum

$0 交易量

45%

Data center utility cost protection

$0 交易量

42%

AI-chip export licensing

$0 交易量

40%

SHOWER Act

$0 交易量

16%

Trump Airport

$117 交易量

14%

$2.50 Coin

$0 交易量

44%

FISA Section 702 reauthorization

$0 交易量

58%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would require location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.”

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,569
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would require location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Which bills will become law in 2026?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 14 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Housing for the 21st Century Act"，概率为 61%，其次是"FISA Section 702 reauthorization"，概率为 58%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 61¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 61%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Which bills will become law in 2026?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Feb 24, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Which bills will become law in 2026?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 14 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Which bills will become law in 2026?"的当前领先者是"Housing for the 21st Century Act"，概率为 61%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 61%。紧随其后的结果是"FISA Section 702 reauthorization"，概率为 58%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Which bills will become law in 2026?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。