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选举·秘鲁

哪些候选人晋级2026年秘鲁总统选举决选？

Market icon
选举·秘鲁

哪些候选人晋级2026年秘鲁总统选举决选？

其他 61.0%

洛佩斯·阿利亚加 & 藤森 38%

藤森与涅托 <1%

洛佩斯·阿利亚加与洛佩斯·查乌 <1%

Polymarket

$993,353 交易量

其他 61.0%

洛佩斯·阿利亚加 & 藤森 38%

藤森与涅托 <1%

洛佩斯·阿利亚加与洛佩斯·查乌 <1%

Polymarket

$993,353 交易量

其他

$251,939 交易量

61%

洛佩斯·阿利亚加 & 藤森

$329,330 交易量

38%

藤森与涅托

$199,100 交易量

1%

洛佩斯·阿利亚加与洛佩斯·查乌

$24,017 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·阿利亚加与涅托

$32,793 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·查乌 & 藤森

$67,800 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·查乌与涅托

$16,487 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·查乌与桑切斯·帕洛米诺

$24,264 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·阿利亚加 & 桑切斯·帕洛米诺

$37,670 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·阿利亚加与格罗佐

$9,953 交易量

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Amid delays from ballot delivery failures extending voting into April 13, Peru's ONPE has processed over 92% of actas as of April 16, showing Keiko Fujimori leading at around 17% and leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino surging to second at 12.1% on rural votes, edging out Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%. This shift from early urban tallies, where López Aliaga briefly contended for second, drives trader consensus toward "Other" pairs at 61.1%, as Fujimori-Sánchez now appears headed to the June 7 runoff in the fragmented 35-candidate field. López Aliaga's fraud allegations and protests persist, but EU observers cite only logistical issues, with final certification pending potential legal challenges.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
交易量
$993,353
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Amid delays from ballot delivery failures extending voting into April 13, Peru's ONPE has processed over 92% of actas as of April 16, showing Keiko Fujimori leading at around 17% and leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino surging to second at 12.1% on rural votes, edging out Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%. This shift from early urban tallies, where López Aliaga briefly contended for second, drives trader consensus toward "Other" pairs at 61.1%, as Fujimori-Sánchez now appears headed to the June 7 runoff in the fragmented 35-candidate field. López Aliaga's fraud allegations and protests persist, but EU observers cite only logistical issues, with final certification pending potential legal challenges.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
交易量
$993,353
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些候选人晋级2026年秘鲁总统选举决选？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"其他"，概率为 61%，其次是"洛佩斯·阿利亚加 & 藤森"，概率为 38%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 61¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 61%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪些候选人晋级2026年秘鲁总统选举决选？"已产生 $993.4K 的总交易量（自Mar 23, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些候选人晋级2026年秘鲁总统选举决选？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些候选人晋级2026年秘鲁总统选举决选？"的当前领先者是"其他"，概率为 61%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 61%。紧随其后的结果是"洛佩斯·阿利亚加 & 藤森"，概率为 38%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些候选人晋级2026年秘鲁总统选举决选？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。