Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, drove the near-certain market outcome through consistent leadership on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified scores above 80 percent and strong results in agentic workflows during May 2026. These releases, combined with deep integration into developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code, positioned Anthropic as the clear second choice behind OpenAI's GPT-5.5 in real-world multi-file reasoning and large codebase tasks. Trader consensus reflects this edge in demonstrated capabilities over competitors. A last-minute model update or benchmark shift favoring another lab's release could still alter the ranking before end-of-May resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?
Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?
Anthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Baidu <1%
$45,549 交易量
$45,549 交易量
2026-05-30
Anthropic
Yes
OpenAI
No
xAI
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Microsoft
No
No
Alibaba
No
ByteDance
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Meta
No
Anthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Baidu <1%
$45,549 交易量
$45,549 交易量
2026-05-30
Anthropic
$8,355 交易量
Yes
OpenAI
$4,839 交易量
No
xAI
$4,375 交易量
No
Baidu
$2,281 交易量
No
Amazon
$3,785 交易量
No
Mistral
$542 交易量
No
Meituan
$3,476 交易量
No
Microsoft
$739 交易量
No
$6,111 交易量
No
Alibaba
$571 交易量
No
ByteDance
$653 交易量
No
Moonshot
$3,677 交易量
No
Z.ai
$1,124 交易量
No
DeepSeek
$3,673 交易量
No
Meta
$1,346 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, drove the near-certain market outcome through consistent leadership on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified scores above 80 percent and strong results in agentic workflows during May 2026. These releases, combined with deep integration into developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code, positioned Anthropic as the clear second choice behind OpenAI's GPT-5.5 in real-world multi-file reasoning and large codebase tasks. Trader consensus reflects this edge in demonstrated capabilities over competitors. A last-minute model update or benchmark shift favoring another lab's release could still alter the ranking before end-of-May resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$45,549结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, drove the near-certain market outcome through consistent leadership on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified scores above 80 percent and strong results in agentic workflows during May 2026. These releases, combined with deep integration into developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code, positioned Anthropic as the clear second choice behind OpenAI's GPT-5.5 in real-world multi-file reasoning and large codebase tasks. Trader consensus reflects this edge in demonstrated capabilities over competitors. A last-minute model update or benchmark shift favoring another lab's release could still alter the ranking before end-of-May resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$45,549结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, drove the near-certain market outcome through consistent leadership on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified scores above 80 percent and strong results in agentic workflows during May 2026. These releases, combined with deep integration into developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code, positioned Anthropic as the clear second choice behind OpenAI's GPT-5.5 in real-world multi-file reasoning and large codebase tasks. Trader consensus reflects this edge in demonstrated capabilities over competitors. A last-minute model update or benchmark shift favoring another lab's release could still alter the ranking before end-of-May resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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