The entrenched Russia-Ukraine conflict and sustained Western sanctions regime explain the near-certain trader consensus against Russian readmission to the G7 before 2027. Russia was suspended in 2014 after annexing Crimea and formally exited the former G8 in 2018; recent G7 summits, including the June 2026 Evian meeting, have reinforced this exclusion through coordinated pledges to tighten energy sanctions and bolster Ukrainian defenses rather than pursue diplomatic reintegration. G7 members continue to condition any return on verifiable concessions for a lasting peace and respect for international borders—conditions unmet amid ongoing hostilities. While a rapid negotiated settlement resolving core territorial and security disputes could theoretically reopen the question within the narrow window, current battlefield dynamics, sanction enforcement, and multilateral alignment make such a shift improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$53,069 交易量
$53,069 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$53,069 交易量
$53,069 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The entrenched Russia-Ukraine conflict and sustained Western sanctions regime explain the near-certain trader consensus against Russian readmission to the G7 before 2027. Russia was suspended in 2014 after annexing Crimea and formally exited the former G8 in 2018; recent G7 summits, including the June 2026 Evian meeting, have reinforced this exclusion through coordinated pledges to tighten energy sanctions and bolster Ukrainian defenses rather than pursue diplomatic reintegration. G7 members continue to condition any return on verifiable concessions for a lasting peace and respect for international borders—conditions unmet amid ongoing hostilities. While a rapid negotiated settlement resolving core territorial and security disputes could theoretically reopen the question within the narrow window, current battlefield dynamics, sanction enforcement, and multilateral alignment make such a shift improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
交易量
$53,069结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The entrenched Russia-Ukraine conflict and sustained Western sanctions regime explain the near-certain trader consensus against Russian readmission to the G7 before 2027. Russia was suspended in 2014 after annexing Crimea and formally exited the former G8 in 2018; recent G7 summits, including the June 2026 Evian meeting, have reinforced this exclusion through coordinated pledges to tighten energy sanctions and bolster Ukrainian defenses rather than pursue diplomatic reintegration. G7 members continue to condition any return on verifiable concessions for a lasting peace and respect for international borders—conditions unmet amid ongoing hostilities. While a rapid negotiated settlement resolving core territorial and security disputes could theoretically reopen the question within the narrow window, current battlefield dynamics, sanction enforcement, and multilateral alignment make such a shift improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$53,069结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The entrenched Russia-Ukraine conflict and sustained Western sanctions regime explain the near-certain trader consensus against Russian readmission to the G7 before 2027. Russia was suspended in 2014 after annexing Crimea and formally exited the former G8 in 2018; recent G7 summits, including the June 2026 Evian meeting, have reinforced this exclusion through coordinated pledges to tighten energy sanctions and bolster Ukrainian defenses rather than pursue diplomatic reintegration. G7 members continue to condition any return on verifiable concessions for a lasting peace and respect for international borders—conditions unmet amid ongoing hostilities. While a rapid negotiated settlement resolving core territorial and security disputes could theoretically reopen the question within the narrow window, current battlefield dynamics, sanction enforcement, and multilateral alignment make such a shift improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题