Russia's exclusion from the G7 since 2014, following its annexation of Crimea and intensified by the 2022 Ukraine invasion, remains the core barrier, with ongoing G7 summits through 2026 reinforcing sanctions, military aid to Ukraine, and unified opposition to Moscow's actions. President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly dismissed any return, highlighting the G7's shrinking global GDP share relative to BRICS and stating in September 2026 interviews that Russia prioritizes alternative forums like the G20, SCO, and expanded BRICS instead. Rejoining requires unanimous consent from all seven members, a threshold unmet amid persistent conflict dynamics. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no rejoining before 2027 reflects these entrenched positions, though a comprehensive Ukraine settlement satisfying G7 security concerns could theoretically reopen discussions if Russia's stance shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
2% 概率
$53,561 交易量
$53,561 交易量
2026-12-31
是
2% 概率
$53,561 交易量
$53,561 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Russia's exclusion from the G7 since 2014, following its annexation of Crimea and intensified by the 2022 Ukraine invasion, remains the core barrier, with ongoing G7 summits through 2026 reinforcing sanctions, military aid to Ukraine, and unified opposition to Moscow's actions. President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly dismissed any return, highlighting the G7's shrinking global GDP share relative to BRICS and stating in September 2026 interviews that Russia prioritizes alternative forums like the G20, SCO, and expanded BRICS instead. Rejoining requires unanimous consent from all seven members, a threshold unmet amid persistent conflict dynamics. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no rejoining before 2027 reflects these entrenched positions, though a comprehensive Ukraine settlement satisfying G7 security concerns could theoretically reopen discussions if Russia's stance shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
交易量
$53,561结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Russia's exclusion from the G7 since 2014, following its annexation of Crimea and intensified by the 2022 Ukraine invasion, remains the core barrier, with ongoing G7 summits through 2026 reinforcing sanctions, military aid to Ukraine, and unified opposition to Moscow's actions. President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly dismissed any return, highlighting the G7's shrinking global GDP share relative to BRICS and stating in September 2026 interviews that Russia prioritizes alternative forums like the G20, SCO, and expanded BRICS instead. Rejoining requires unanimous consent from all seven members, a threshold unmet amid persistent conflict dynamics. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no rejoining before 2027 reflects these entrenched positions, though a comprehensive Ukraine settlement satisfying G7 security concerns could theoretically reopen discussions if Russia's stance shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$53,561结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETRussia's exclusion from the G7 since 2014, following its annexation of Crimea and intensified by the 2022 Ukraine invasion, remains the core barrier, with ongoing G7 summits through 2026 reinforcing sanctions, military aid to Ukraine, and unified opposition to Moscow's actions. President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly dismissed any return, highlighting the G7's shrinking global GDP share relative to BRICS and stating in September 2026 interviews that Russia prioritizes alternative forums like the G20, SCO, and expanded BRICS instead. Rejoining requires unanimous consent from all seven members, a threshold unmet amid persistent conflict dynamics. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no rejoining before 2027 reflects these entrenched positions, though a comprehensive Ukraine settlement satisfying G7 security concerns could theoretically reopen discussions if Russia's stance shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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