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费用 预测与赔率

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What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

3%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$3M 交易量

$256K today

$264K Liq.

140

Ends 1 天内

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

14%

$1M

$32.7K 交易量

$2.0K Liq.

27

Ends 8 个月内

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

3%

$387K 交易量

$17.9K Liq.

51

Ends 1 天内

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

43%

$127K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

17

Ends 8 个月内

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

28%

$34.9K 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

6

Ends 8 个月内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

49%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$10.0K Liq.

112

Ends 2 个月内

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

47%

↑ 600

$212K 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

8

Ends 8 个月内

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

98%

Silver

$36.3K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

45%

↑ 0.50

$301K 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

13

Ends 8 个月内

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

64%

↓ 60

$662K 交易量

$234K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

91%

↓ 0.0014

$106K 交易量

$13.2K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

6%

May 4

$97.8K 交易量

$34.5K Liq.

10

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

62%

December 31, 2027

$464K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

32

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

19%

↑ $3

$630K 交易量

$17.9K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

What price will Chainlink hit in April?

What price will Chainlink hit in April?

29%

↓ 8

$10.9K 交易量

$19.1K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

91%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$984K 交易量

$99.3K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

98%

>$600M

$20M 交易量

$621K today

$792K Liq.

289

Ends 2 个月内

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

72%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$9.2K 交易量

$126K Liq.

Ends 3 个月内

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

4%

↑ 48

$191K 交易量

$37.5K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

38%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K 交易量

$5.1K Liq.

4

Ends 8 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 费用 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 109 个活跃的 费用 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $30.3M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ",市场目前认为 >$600M 的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 费用 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。