Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Rogers' re-election bid in Alabama's deeply Republican 3rd Congressional District (R+23 Cook PVI) drives trader consensus toward a 92% implied probability for the GOP, bolstered by his commanding fundraising ($1.76 million raised as of late 2025) and history of lopsided victories, including 97.9% in 2024. The Democratic primary was canceled, advancing sole filer Lee McInnis with minimal resources ($27,685), ensuring a mismatch in November's general election. Rogers faces investigative journalist Terri LaPoint in the May 19 Republican primary, but his incumbency and Armed Services Committee chairmanship provide significant advantages. Scenarios to upend this include a primary upset, GOP nominee scandal, or national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAL-03 House Election Winner
AL-03 House Election Winner
$14,932 Vol.
$14,932 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
$14,932 Vol.
$14,932 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,192 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$6,741 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Rogers' re-election bid in Alabama's deeply Republican 3rd Congressional District (R+23 Cook PVI) drives trader consensus toward a 92% implied probability for the GOP, bolstered by his commanding fundraising ($1.76 million raised as of late 2025) and history of lopsided victories, including 97.9% in 2024. The Democratic primary was canceled, advancing sole filer Lee McInnis with minimal resources ($27,685), ensuring a mismatch in November's general election. Rogers faces investigative journalist Terri LaPoint in the May 19 Republican primary, but his incumbency and Armed Services Committee chairmanship provide significant advantages. Scenarios to upend this include a primary upset, GOP nominee scandal, or national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ভলিউম
$14,932শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Rogers' re-election bid in Alabama's deeply Republican 3rd Congressional District (R+23 Cook PVI) drives trader consensus toward a 92% implied probability for the GOP, bolstered by his commanding fundraising ($1.76 million raised as of late 2025) and history of lopsided victories, including 97.9% in 2024. The Democratic primary was canceled, advancing sole filer Lee McInnis with minimal resources ($27,685), ensuring a mismatch in November's general election. Rogers faces investigative journalist Terri LaPoint in the May 19 Republican primary, but his incumbency and Armed Services Committee chairmanship provide significant advantages. Scenarios to upend this include a primary upset, GOP nominee scandal, or national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$14,932শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Rogers' re-election bid in Alabama's deeply Republican 3rd Congressional District (R+23 Cook PVI) drives trader consensus toward a 92% implied probability for the GOP, bolstered by his commanding fundraising ($1.76 million raised as of late 2025) and history of lopsided victories, including 97.9% in 2024. The Democratic primary was canceled, advancing sole filer Lee McInnis with minimal resources ($27,685), ensuring a mismatch in November's general election. Rogers faces investigative journalist Terri LaPoint in the May 19 Republican primary, but his incumbency and Armed Services Committee chairmanship provide significant advantages. Scenarios to upend this include a primary upset, GOP nominee scandal, or national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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