Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon's 4th Congressional District, a D+6 partisan lean seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report, where she won her last general election with 51.8%. Recent campaign finance disclosures through late March show Hoyle with $502,000 cash on hand, surpassing leading Republican primary contender Monique DeSpain's $321,000, amid GOP nominees falling several points short in prior cycles and little national Republican investment expected. With May 19 primaries imminent, trader consensus prices a Democratic general election win at 91%, reflecting her incumbency advantage and fundraising edge. Upsets could arise from a unified GOP nominee surge, Hoyle primary loss, national midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOR-04 House Election Winner
OR-04 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,316 Vol.
91%
Republican Party
$87 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon's 4th Congressional District, a D+6 partisan lean seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report, where she won her last general election with 51.8%. Recent campaign finance disclosures through late March show Hoyle with $502,000 cash on hand, surpassing leading Republican primary contender Monique DeSpain's $321,000, amid GOP nominees falling several points short in prior cycles and little national Republican investment expected. With May 19 primaries imminent, trader consensus prices a Democratic general election win at 91%, reflecting her incumbency advantage and fundraising edge. Upsets could arise from a unified GOP nominee surge, Hoyle primary loss, national midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$7,403শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon's 4th Congressional District, a D+6 partisan lean seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report, where she won her last general election with 51.8%. Recent campaign finance disclosures through late March show Hoyle with $502,000 cash on hand, surpassing leading Republican primary contender Monique DeSpain's $321,000, amid GOP nominees falling several points short in prior cycles and little national Republican investment expected. With May 19 primaries imminent, trader consensus prices a Democratic general election win at 91%, reflecting her incumbency advantage and fundraising edge. Upsets could arise from a unified GOP nominee surge, Hoyle primary loss, national midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$7,403শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon's 4th Congressional District, a D+6 partisan lean seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report, where she won her last general election with 51.8%. Recent campaign finance disclosures through late March show Hoyle with $502,000 cash on hand, surpassing leading Republican primary contender Monique DeSpain's $321,000, amid GOP nominees falling several points short in prior cycles and little national Republican investment expected. With May 19 primaries imminent, trader consensus prices a Democratic general election win at 91%, reflecting her incumbency advantage and fundraising edge. Upsets could arise from a unified GOP nominee surge, Hoyle primary loss, national midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা