Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida’s 21st congressional district on November 3, 2026. A Republican-led redistricting process completed in late April and early May produced maps that left the seat with a partisan lean of roughly R+7 to R+15, consistent with the district’s 57–58 percent support for the Republican presidential nominee in recent cycles. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing Mast’s established fundraising edge and the absence of polling or candidate developments that would narrow the structural gap. Democratic primary contenders remain active ahead of the August 18 contest, yet none have altered the outlook. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party an 85 percent implied probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-21 Wahlsieger
FL-21 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
85%
Demokratische Partei
14%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$4,649 Vol.
85%
Demokratische Partei
$3,145 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida’s 21st congressional district on November 3, 2026. A Republican-led redistricting process completed in late April and early May produced maps that left the seat with a partisan lean of roughly R+7 to R+15, consistent with the district’s 57–58 percent support for the Republican presidential nominee in recent cycles. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing Mast’s established fundraising edge and the absence of polling or candidate developments that would narrow the structural gap. Democratic primary contenders remain active ahead of the August 18 contest, yet none have altered the outlook. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party an 85 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$7,795Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida’s 21st congressional district on November 3, 2026. A Republican-led redistricting process completed in late April and early May produced maps that left the seat with a partisan lean of roughly R+7 to R+15, consistent with the district’s 57–58 percent support for the Republican presidential nominee in recent cycles. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing Mast’s established fundraising edge and the absence of polling or candidate developments that would narrow the structural gap. Democratic primary contenders remain active ahead of the August 18 contest, yet none have altered the outlook. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party an 85 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,795Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida’s 21st congressional district on November 3, 2026. A Republican-led redistricting process completed in late April and early May produced maps that left the seat with a partisan lean of roughly R+7 to R+15, consistent with the district’s 57–58 percent support for the Republican presidential nominee in recent cycles. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing Mast’s established fundraising edge and the absence of polling or candidate developments that would narrow the structural gap. Democratic primary contenders remain active ahead of the August 18 contest, yet none have altered the outlook. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party an 85 percent implied probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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